Fintech executive, writer, math geek, and investment systems developer. Founder and CEO of Altruist and Founder of FormulaFolios.

Recession Probability Update - July 2011

Greetings, Each month we measure the strength of the US Economy via our Recession Probability Analytics (RPA).  RPA ranks the economy on a scale of 1 to 100 with 1 being the best and 100 being the worst possible economic conditions.

We feel this takes the guesswork out of how strong or weak the markets are as well as give investors a gauge on how "safe" investing conditions are.  While not perfect, RPA has proven very useful in helping investors avoid major stock market declines by providing a warning when the measurement is higher than 50.

This months RPA:  34.27 Last months RPA:  32.78

Not much has changed since last month even though most stock markets are down around the globe.  While the economy isn't super strong, it's not super weak either.  The economy is weakening, but on a long-term historical basis it is no one near as bad as it was just a couple years ago.

If you have any questions about this measurement feel welcome to contact your advisor here at Retirement Wealth Advisors.  Thank you for following our updates and have a great weekend.

With Regards,

Jason Wenk

Recession Probability Update - August 2011

State of the US Economy (RPA)

State of the US Economy (RPA)